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Population change (projection)

Tier A· OfficialDescriptiveprojection

Projected % change in population from 2024 to 2050 (UN WPP medium variant). Descriptive projection.

100 = fastest projected growth, 0 = fastest projected decline — descriptive, not better or worse

How this score is built

Projection · UN World Population Prospects (medium variant) · horizon 2050. The projected percentage change in a country's population from 2024 to 2050.

Descriptive — we describe it, we do not grade it. Projected *decline* is not inherently negative (it can ease environmental and housing load) nor is projected *growth* inherently positive (it can strain services); both carry real trade-offs — an ageing/shrinking population pressures pensions and labour, a fast-growing one pressures jobs and resources. So this is shown with a neutral colour and kept off the Compare radar. It is a projection (medium-variant assumptions), not a measured value.

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0
100No datadescriptive — not better/worse

100 = fastest projected growth, 0 = fastest projected decline — descriptive, not better or worse

Full ranking

237 countries with data. Rank 1 = best. Click a column to sort; click a country for its full provenance.

Rank ↑CountryScoreRaw value
1stDR CongoCOD
100100
99.7 % change 2024→2050
2ndCentral African RepublicCAF
99.62100
99.2 % change 2024→2050
3rdMayotteMYT
98.4998
97.7 % change 2024→2050
4thAngolaAGO
97.2997
96.1 % change 2024→2050
5thSomaliaSOM
96.9897
95.7 % change 2024→2050
6thNigerNER
95.9396
94.3 % change 2024→2050
7thChadTCD
93.7494
91.4 % change 2024→2050
8thTanzaniaTZA
92.0192
89.1 % change 2024→2050
9thMaliMLI
91.5592
88.5 % change 2024→2050
10thMozambiqueMOZ
87.7188
83.4 % change 2024→2050
11thMauritaniaMRT
86.7387
82.1 % change 2024→2050
12thAfghanistanAFG
85.3785
80.3 % change 2024→2050
13thZambiaZMB
84.1684
78.7 % change 2024→2050
14thCameroonCMR
81.6782
75.4 % change 2024→2050
15thYemenYEM
81.381
74.9 % change 2024→2050
16thIvory CoastCIV
81.0781
74.6 % change 2024→2050
17thCongoCOG
80.4780
73.8 % change 2024→2050
18thMalawiMWI
79.4979
72.5 % change 2024→2050
19thBurundiBDI
78.9679
71.8 % change 2024→2050
20thUgandaUGA
78.2178
70.8 % change 2024→2050
21stEthiopiaETH
77.978
70.4 % change 2024→2050
22ndBeninBEN
76.7777
68.9 % change 2024→2050
22ndSudanSDN
76.7777
68.9 % change 2024→2050
24thMadagascarMDG
74.8975
66.4 % change 2024→2050
25thEquatorial GuineaGNQ
74.6675
66.1 % change 2024→2050
25thTogoTGO
74.6675
66.1 % change 2024→2050
27thSenegalSEN
73.1573
64.1 % change 2024→2050
28thVanuatuVUT
72.3272
63 % change 2024→2050
29thEritreaERI
70.8971
61.1 % change 2024→2050
30thGabonGAB
70.7471
60.9 % change 2024→2050
31stSolomon IslandsSLB
69.9170
59.8 % change 2024→2050
32ndRwandaRWA
69.5370
59.3 % change 2024→2050
33rdLiberiaLBR
69.1669
58.8 % change 2024→2050
34thGuineaGIN
6969
58.6 % change 2024→2050
35thBurkina FasoBFA
68.8569
58.4 % change 2024→2050
36thGuinea-BissauGNB
67.1967
56.2 % change 2024→2050
36thIraqIRQ
67.1967
56.2 % change 2024→2050
38thGambiaGMB
66.9767
55.9 % change 2024→2050
39thZimbabweZWE
66.6767
55.5 % change 2024→2050
40thSão Tomé and PríncipeSTP
66.2966
55 % change 2024→2050
41stNigeriaNGA
65.8466
54.4 % change 2024→2050
42ndPalestinePSE
65.3865
53.8 % change 2024→2050
43rdSouth SudanSSD
65.2365
53.6 % change 2024→2050
44thSyriaSYR
64.9365
53.2 % change 2024→2050
45thFrench GuianaGUF
64.7865
53 % change 2024→2050
46thTokelauTKL
64.164
52.1 % change 2024→2050
47thComorosCOM
63.263
50.9 % change 2024→2050
48thSierra LeoneSLE
62.3762
49.8 % change 2024→2050
49thNamibiaNAM
61.6962
48.9 % change 2024→2050
50thOmanOMN
61.1661
48.2 % change 2024→2050
51stKenyaKEN
61.0961
48.1 % change 2024→2050
52ndPakistanPAK
61.0161
48 % change 2024→2050
53rdTajikistanTJK
60.3360
47.1 % change 2024→2050
54thGhanaGHA
60.1160
46.8 % change 2024→2050
55thUzbekistanUZB
57.6958
43.6 % change 2024→2050
56thVatican CityVAT
56.4956
42 % change 2024→2050
57thJordanJOR
56.2656
41.7 % change 2024→2050
58thPapua New GuineaPNG
55.6656
40.9 % change 2024→2050
59thSaudi ArabiaSAU
55.2855
40.4 % change 2024→2050
60thCayman IslandsCYM
54.6855
39.6 % change 2024→2050
61stIsraelISR
54.655
39.5 % change 2024→2050
62ndUnited Arab EmiratesARE
54.5255
39.4 % change 2024→2050
63rdEgyptEGY
5454
38.7 % change 2024→2050
64thHondurasHND
52.7953
37.1 % change 2024→2050
65thQatarQAT
52.4152
36.6 % change 2024→2050
66thBotswanaBWA
52.1952
36.3 % change 2024→2050
67thKiribatiKIR
51.8152
35.8 % change 2024→2050
68thTimor-LesteTLS
51.1351
34.9 % change 2024→2050
69thKyrgyzstanKGZ
50.651
34.2 % change 2024→2050
70thGuatemalaGTM
50.4550
34 % change 2024→2050
71stBahrainBHR
49.7750
33.1 % change 2024→2050
72ndNauruNRU
48.7949
31.8 % change 2024→2050
73rdWestern SaharaESH
48.6449
31.6 % change 2024→2050
74thDjiboutiDJI
48.1948
31 % change 2024→2050
75thBoliviaBOL
47.2947
29.8 % change 2024→2050
76thMongoliaMNG
47.0647
29.5 % change 2024→2050
77thKuwaitKWT
46.6847
29 % change 2024→2050
78thKazakhstanKAZ
46.6147
28.9 % change 2024→2050
79thTurkmenistanTKM
46.3846
28.6 % change 2024→2050
80thLesothoLSO
4646
28.1 % change 2024→2050
81stAlgeriaDZA
45.3245
27.2 % change 2024→2050
82ndGibraltarGIB
44.8745
26.6 % change 2024→2050
82ndNicaraguaNIC
44.8745
26.6 % change 2024→2050
84thLaosLAO
44.1244
25.6 % change 2024→2050
85thLibyaLBY
44.0444
25.5 % change 2024→2050
86thSamoaWSM
43.7444
25.1 % change 2024→2050
87thHaitiHTI
43.6744
25 % change 2024→2050
88thPanamaPAN
43.4443
24.7 % change 2024→2050
88thParaguayPRY
43.4443
24.7 % change 2024→2050
90thMalaysiaMYS
43.3643
24.6 % change 2024→2050
91stCambodiaKHM
43.1443
24.3 % change 2024→2050
92ndBelizeBLZ
42.8443
23.9 % change 2024→2050
93rdBangladeshBGD
42.6843
23.7 % change 2024→2050
93rdSouth AfricaZAF
42.6843
23.7 % change 2024→2050
95thAustraliaAUS
41.1841
21.7 % change 2024→2050
96thEswatiniSWZ
40.7241
21.1 % change 2024→2050
97thLebanonLBN
40.3540
20.6 % change 2024→2050
98thPeruPER
38.8439
18.6 % change 2024→2050
99thEcuadorECU
38.1638
17.7 % change 2024→2050
99thSint MaartenSXM
38.1638
17.7 % change 2024→2050
101stLuxembourgLUX
38.0838
17.6 % change 2024→2050
102ndNepalNPL
37.4837
16.8 % change 2024→2050
103rdNew CaledoniaNCL
37.1837
16.4 % change 2024→2050
104thPhilippinesPHL
36.8837
16 % change 2024→2050
105thIndiaIND
36.7337
15.8 % change 2024→2050
106thSurinameSUR
36.6537
15.7 % change 2024→2050
107thCanadaCAN
35.9736
14.8 % change 2024→2050
108thGuamGUM
35.4435
14.1 % change 2024→2050
108thMoroccoMAR
35.4435
14.1 % change 2024→2050
110thFaroe IslandsFRO
35.2235
13.8 % change 2024→2050
110thMexicoMEX
35.2235
13.8 % change 2024→2050
112thDominican RepublicDOM
35.1435
13.7 % change 2024→2050
113thIrelandIRL
35.0735
13.6 % change 2024→2050
114thSaint BarthélemyBLM
34.9935
13.5 % change 2024→2050
115thCaribbean NetherlandsBES
34.7735
13.2 % change 2024→2050
115thGuyanaGUY
34.7735
13.2 % change 2024→2050
117thIndonesiaIDN
34.6935
13.1 % change 2024→2050
118thBruneiBRN
34.0934
12.3 % change 2024→2050
118thColombiaCOL
34.0934
12.3 % change 2024→2050
120thMaldivesMDV
33.7134
11.8 % change 2024→2050
121stMicronesiaFSM
33.6334
11.7 % change 2024→2050
122ndBhutanBTN
33.4833
11.5 % change 2024→2050
123rdIranIRN
33.2633
11.2 % change 2024→2050
124thCyprusCYP
33.1833
11.1 % change 2024→2050
125thNew ZealandNZL
32.6533
10.4 % change 2024→2050
126thUnited StatesUSA
32.5833
10.3 % change 2024→2050
127thIcelandISL
32.4332
10.1 % change 2024→2050
128thTurks and Caicos IslandsTCA
32.0532
9.6 % change 2024→2050
129thVenezuelaVEN
31.9832
9.5 % change 2024→2050
130thUnited KingdomGBR
31.7532
9.2 % change 2024→2050
131stVietnamVNM
31.5232
8.9 % change 2024→2050
132ndSeychellesSYC
31.3731
8.7 % change 2024→2050
133rdAzerbaijanAZE
31.331
8.6 % change 2024→2050
134thNiueNIU
30.8431
8 % change 2024→2050
135thCape VerdeCPV
30.7731
7.9 % change 2024→2050
136thLiechtensteinLIE
30.6931
7.8 % change 2024→2050
137thFijiFJI
30.6231
7.7 % change 2024→2050
138thMyanmarMMR
30.5431
7.6 % change 2024→2050
139thSri LankaLKA
30.3930
7.4 % change 2024→2050
140thRéunionREU
30.2430
7.2 % change 2024→2050
141stTunisiaTUN
30.1730
7.1 % change 2024→2050
142ndSwedenSWE
29.7930
6.6 % change 2024→2050
143rdNorwayNOR
29.1929
5.8 % change 2024→2050
144thArgentinaARG
29.1129
5.7 % change 2024→2050
144thBahamasBHS
29.1129
5.7 % change 2024→2050
146thEl SalvadorSLV
28.6629
5.1 % change 2024→2050
147thSwitzerlandCHE
28.3628
4.7 % change 2024→2050
148thCosta RicaCRI
28.1328
4.4 % change 2024→2050
149thSingaporeSGP
28.0528
4.3 % change 2024→2050
149thTürkiyeTUR
28.0528
4.3 % change 2024→2050
151stNetherlandsNLD
27.8328
4 % change 2024→2050
152ndChileCHL
26.9227
2.8 % change 2024→2050
153rdBrazilBRA
26.7727
2.6 % change 2024→2050
154thDenmarkDNK
26.727
2.5 % change 2024→2050
154thFranceFRA
26.727
2.5 % change 2024→2050
156thBritish Virgin IslandsVGB
26.4726
2.2 % change 2024→2050
157thAntigua and BarbudaATG
25.8726
1.4 % change 2024→2050
157thTuvaluTUV
25.8726
1.4 % change 2024→2050
159thBelgiumBEL
25.6426
1.1 % change 2024→2050
160thFrench PolynesiaPYF
25.5726
1 % change 2024→2050
160thTongaTON
25.5726
1 % change 2024→2050
162ndJerseyJEY
25.4925
0.9 % change 2024→2050
163rdAndorraAND
25.0425
0.3 % change 2024→2050
163rdSan MarinoSMR
25.0425
0.3 % change 2024→2050
165thAnguillaAIA
24.5925
-0.3 % change 2024→2050
166thMaltaMLT
24.2824
-0.7 % change 2024→2050
167thGuernseyGGY
23.0823
-2.3 % change 2024→2050
168thKosovoUNK
2323
-2.4 % change 2024→2050
169thNorth KoreaPRK
22.7823
-2.7 % change 2024→2050
170thGrenadaGRD
22.2522
-3.4 % change 2024→2050
170thNorthern Mariana IslandsMNP
22.2522
-3.4 % change 2024→2050
172ndGeorgiaGEO
21.9522
-3.8 % change 2024→2050
173rdUruguayURY
21.8722
-3.9 % change 2024→2050
174thAustriaAUT
21.5722
-4.3 % change 2024→2050
174thSaint LuciaLCA
21.5722
-4.3 % change 2024→2050
176thDominicaDMA
21.3421
-4.6 % change 2024→2050
177thFinlandFIN
21.2721
-4.7 % change 2024→2050
178thMonacoMCO
21.1221
-4.9 % change 2024→2050
179thSaint Kitts and NevisKNA
20.6621
-5.5 % change 2024→2050
180thRussiaRUS
20.2920
-6 % change 2024→2050
181stSpainESP
20.1420
-6.2 % change 2024→2050
182ndPortugalPRT
20.0620
-6.3 % change 2024→2050
183rdBarbadosBRB
19.9120
-6.5 % change 2024→2050
183rdCuraçaoCUW
19.9120
-6.5 % change 2024→2050
183rdSloveniaSVN
19.9120
-6.5 % change 2024→2050
186thMacauMAC
19.4619
-7.1 % change 2024→2050
187thTrinidad and TobagoTTO
19.3819
-7.2 % change 2024→2050
188thGermanyDEU
19.2319
-7.4 % change 2024→2050
188thIsle of ManIMN
19.2319
-7.4 % change 2024→2050
188thThailandTHA
19.2319
-7.4 % change 2024→2050
191stArubaABW
19.1619
-7.5 % change 2024→2050
192ndFalkland IslandsFLK
18.4818
-8.4 % change 2024→2050
193rdCzechiaCZE
18.418
-8.5 % change 2024→2050
194thHungaryHUN
17.4217
-9.8 % change 2024→2050
195thWallis and FutunaWLF
17.2717
-10 % change 2024→2050
196thSlovakiaSVK
16.9717
-10.4 % change 2024→2050
197thGreenlandGRL
16.8217
-10.6 % change 2024→2050
198thChinaCHN
16.3716
-11.2 % change 2024→2050
199thSaint Vincent and the GrenadinesVCT
16.0616
-11.6 % change 2024→2050
200thBermudaBMU
15.8416
-11.9 % change 2024→2050
201stGreeceGRC
15.5416
-12.3 % change 2024→2050
201stPalauPLW
15.5416
-12.3 % change 2024→2050
203rdItalyITA
15.3115
-12.6 % change 2024→2050
204thSouth KoreaKOR
15.2315
-12.7 % change 2024→2050
205thMauritiusMUS
15.0815
-12.9 % change 2024→2050
206thGuadeloupeGLP
15.0115
-13 % change 2024→2050
207thJamaicaJAM
14.6315
-13.5 % change 2024→2050
208thEstoniaEST
14.4814
-13.7 % change 2024→2050
209thCubaCUB
13.814
-14.6 % change 2024→2050
210thPolandPOL
13.5714
-14.9 % change 2024→2050
211thJapanJPN
13.4213
-15.1 % change 2024→2050
212thUkraineUKR
13.1213
-15.5 % change 2024→2050
213thRomaniaROU
12.9713
-15.7 % change 2024→2050
214thMontserratMSR
12.913
-15.8 % change 2024→2050
215thArmeniaARM
12.6713
-16.1 % change 2024→2050
215thUnited States Virgin IslandsVIR
12.6713
-16.1 % change 2024→2050
217thTaiwanTWN
12.5213
-16.3 % change 2024→2050
218thCroatiaHRV
12.3712
-16.5 % change 2024→2050
218thMontenegroMNE
12.3712
-16.5 % change 2024→2050
220thNorth MacedoniaMKD
11.9912
-17 % change 2024→2050
221stBelarusBLR
11.4611
-17.7 % change 2024→2050
222ndMartiniqueMTQ
11.3911
-17.8 % change 2024→2050
223rdHong KongHKG
11.3111
-17.9 % change 2024→2050
223rdSerbiaSRB
11.3111
-17.9 % change 2024→2050
225thLatviaLVA
10.4110
-19.1 % change 2024→2050
226thAmerican SamoaASM
9.9510
-19.7 % change 2024→2050
227thAlbaniaALB
9.8810
-19.8 % change 2024→2050
228thBulgariaBGR
9.6510
-20.1 % change 2024→2050
229thLithuaniaLTU
8.979
-21 % change 2024→2050
230thBosnia and HerzegovinaBIH
7.928
-22.4 % change 2024→2050
231stMoldovaMDA
7.848
-22.5 % change 2024→2050
232ndPuerto RicoPRI
7.628
-22.8 % change 2024→2050
233rdSaint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da CunhaSHN
6.647
-24.1 % change 2024→2050
234thSaint Pierre and MiquelonSPM
6.567
-24.2 % change 2024→2050
235thSaint MartinMAF
3.74
-28 % change 2024→2050
236thCook IslandsCOK
0.751
-31.9 % change 2024→2050
237thMarshall IslandsMHL
00
-32.9 % change 2024→2050
Population change (projection) — country ranking · WorldScore